The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) was popularized by Mark Minervini. It forms when price volatility and volume contract over time, setting up a powerful breakout.
What is a VCP?
Each pullback is smaller than the last, showing sellers are drying up. The result? A tightening base where demand quietly builds up.
Why VCP Matters
– Smaller Pullbacks: Example: 25% > 15% > 8%– Volume Drops: Each contraction has lower volume– Tight Base: Low volatility near the pivot– Breakout: Surge in volume confirms demand
Key VCP Elements
1. Look for a stock in a Stage 2 uptrend.2. Identify 3-4 smaller contractions.3. Watch volume fall with each dip.4. Confirm a tight base and breakout point.
How to Spot a VCP
Enter as price breaks above the pivot with strong volume. Set a stop just below the last low. Risk is tight, reward can be massive.
Entry Strategy
– 60-70% of VCP breakouts succeed in bull markets– Common in stocks that gain 100%+ in a year– Breakouts often accompanied by 30-40% volume surge